Douglas Haig vs 9 de Julio Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
14.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
7º
6º
26
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 1
DHA
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 1
GYT
39%
30%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DHA
2 - 1
CIB
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DHA
5 - 0
CEN
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DHA
0 - 0
RSA
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
9DJ
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
9DJ
2 - 0
BUC
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
JAN
0 - 3
9DJ
35%
29%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
9DJ
0 - 1
CDN
50%
26%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GYT
1 - 0
9DJ
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |