Real Brasília vs São Raimundo RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
DOM
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
4 - 1
CEI
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 0
DOM
14%
19%
67%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 3
CAP
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 1
DOM
9%
16%
75%
|
49 | 6 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
São Raimundo RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
7 - 0
SFC
87%
9%
5%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AGU
6 - 1
SAO
57%
25%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
TDC
1 - 2
SAO
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
PRI
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
41%
27%
33%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |