Real Brasília vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
52.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 0
BRA
19%
21%
61%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 2
DOM
67%
18%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 1
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
DOM
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
DOM
12%
18%
70%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CEI
0 - 0
CAX
32%
30%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
0 - 0
CEI
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CEI
3 - 0
VIT
30%
28%
43%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 0
CEI
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
IPO
1 - 1
CEI
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |