Apertura Nicaragua Etapas Finales Final
Global 2-1
Diriangén vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
DIR
3 - 0
CDS
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
DIR
28%
26%
47%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DIR
1 - 0
JAP
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 1
DIR
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
DIR
1 - 2
UNA
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
EST
25%
27%
49%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
ORM
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 26 | 43 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |