Copa Nicaragua Semi-finals
Global 3-6
Diriangén vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
DIR
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
DIR
1 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
DIR
3 - 0
CDS
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
DIR
28%
26%
47%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
DIR
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
DIR
1 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
EST
0 - 0
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |