Differdange 03 vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 2
DIF
27%
24%
50%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DIF
4 - 0
VIC
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
DIF
1 - 0
SWI
33%
23%
44%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KAE
0 - 8
DIF
13%
20%
67%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
DIF
0 - 4
F91
33%
24%
43%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 1
ETZ
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TPE
0 - 2
PRO
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
RUM
1 - 3
PRO
12%
17%
72%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
UNA
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ULU
1 - 2
PRO
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +2 |