Deusto vs Portugalete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
72.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deusto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
DEU
0 - 4
GER
8%
18%
75%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SOD
3 - 0
DEU
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
DEU
1 - 1
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ARI
0 - 3
DEU
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
DEU
0 - 2
SAN
26%
25%
50%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
SOD
73%
18%
10%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 2
POR
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
POR
3 - 1
ARI
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
POR
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
POR
3 - 1
LON
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |