Desportivo Brasil vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
PRI
1 - 0
DES
20%
26%
55%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
DES
0 - 1
CAP
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
DES
1 - 0
SAO
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
COM
1 - 1
DES
34%
26%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NOR
3 - 2
DES
35%
27%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BER
1 - 1
AUD
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
BER
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BER
4 - 2
TAB
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BER
0 - 4
VEL
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 2
BER
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |