Desportiva Ferroviária vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 0
DES
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DES
0 - 2
SER
28%
24%
49%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
DES
45%
27%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
DES
2 - 2
VFC
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
DES
13%
19%
69%
|
46 | 10 | 36 | -3 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
ITA
77%
16%
8%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 1
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 1
PRI
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CEI
1 - 0
RIO
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 0
REA
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |