Desportiva Ferroviária vs Nova Venecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 2
DES
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
DES
2 - 0
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
RVV
3 - 3
DES
50%
24%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DES
0 - 0
JAG
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
4 - 0
DES
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Venecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
NVE
1 - 3
POR
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
REA
1 - 1
NVE
28%
23%
49%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
NVE
1 - 1
SER
42%
23%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NVE
2 - 2
VIT
31%
22%
47%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
NVE
14%
19%
68%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |