Derry City vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
5º
2º
33
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 60 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 56 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 53 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 51 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 49 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 41 |
8º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
88.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
35.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
55% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
SHE
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 0
DER
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 2
DER
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
DER
3 - 1
STP
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
DER
1 - 3
SHR
45%
28%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
BOH
0 - 1
GAL
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 1
SHR
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
BOH
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 0
DRO
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 0
DUN
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |