Derby County vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
DER
3 - 2
HUR
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
DER
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
FUL
2 - 5
DER
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DER
1 - 2
WIG
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
BPO
0 - 1
DER
18%
25%
57%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
IPS
2 - 1
WOL
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
WOL
0 - 0
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LEE
1 - 2
WOL
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
WOL
2 - 0
MID
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MIL
3 - 3
WOL
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |