Derby County vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
DER
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
HUR
1 - 1
DER
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
DER
3 - 1
DON
73%
18%
10%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 2
DER
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
DER
5 - 1
BPO
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
WIG
0 - 0
BUR
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
WIG
0 - 0
BIR
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
REA
1 - 2
WIG
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
WIG
3 - 2
BOL
52%
24%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
WIG
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |