Derby County vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
DER
0 - 1
QPR
51%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BOU
1 - 1
DER
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
DER
1 - 1
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
NTT
1 - 1
DER
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
HUR
1 - 0
DER
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 0
WAT
24%
27%
50%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
3 - 0
QPR
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
STO
2 - 2
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |