Walter Ferretti vs Diriangén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
9º
5º
44
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
DEC
0 - 2
WAL
11%
17%
72%
|
57 | 8 | 49 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
ORM
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
WAL
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 1
CDS
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 0
WAL
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
DIR
7 - 0
UNA
76%
16%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
DIR
3 - 0
UNA
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 2
DIR
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
DIR
1 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
DIR
1 - 1
MAN
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |