Clausura Costa Rica Eliminatorias Final
Global 3-1
Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
LDA
1 - 0
SAP
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SAP
4 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAP
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAP
3 - 1
SAN
79%
15%
7%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
SAP
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
LDA
1 - 0
SAP
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CSH
1 - 0
LDA
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
LDA
1 - 0
CSH
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LDA
5 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
LDA
19%
25%
56%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |