Dep. Santamarina vs Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
7º
4º
64
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
58% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 1
RSA
30%
28%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
RSA
4 - 2
CAG
32%
29%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
RSA
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 2
GIM
19%
28%
53%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
LIN
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 0
VIL
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
VIL
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
SMA
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 0
SPB
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |