Dep. Santamarina vs Sansinena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
7º
4º
43
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
58% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
42% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
RSA
4 - 2
CAG
32%
29%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
RSA
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 2
GIM
19%
28%
53%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STM
1 - 1
RSA
50%
26%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
2 - 2
CFE
22%
30%
48%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Sansinena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAN
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
HHE
1 - 0
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPE
56%
24%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FER
2 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
JUU
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |