Dep. Quito vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
QUI
4 - 0
BSC
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
EME
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
BSC
1 - 0
QUI
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 0
OLM
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 3
QUI
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
QUI
4 - 0
BSC
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CUE
1 - 0
BSC
38%
31%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ESP
0 - 0
BSC
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
BSC
1 - 2
CUE
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
BSC
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |