Superliga Final
Global 3-5
Deportivo Pereira vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
HUI
71%
20%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PER
2 - 3
MIL
27%
26%
48%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
PER
0 - 0
IND
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
JUN
0 - 2
PER
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 1
NAC
17%
24%
58%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
ONC
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 0
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
EQU
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |