CD Ocotal vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
54.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
10º
5º
29
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
JUV
9 - 0
DEP
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
WAL
11%
23%
66%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DEP
2 - 3
JAP
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CDS
2 - 0
DEP
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 0
DEP
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
MAN
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
EST
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 5
MAN
43%
26%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
UNA
1 - 3
MAN
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
MFC
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |