CD Ocotal vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
62.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
19%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
15%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
10º
5º
24
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 1
JAP
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 4
DEP
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 0
DEP
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 0
UNA
30%
25%
44%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DIR
0 - 1
DEP
80%
15%
6%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 3
JUV
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 1
MFC
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
JAP
0 - 1
WAL
13%
25%
62%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 2
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |