Laferrere vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
61.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
LAF
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
LAF
0 - 1
BER
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
LAF
62%
22%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LAF
1 - 1
LUJ
44%
27%
29%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 0
LAF
45%
26%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 0
SMA
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
JJU
2 - 1
EXC
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
ARM
74%
18%
9%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MER
1 - 1
EXC
24%
26%
51%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
DEF
32%
30%
38%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |