La Guaira vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ZUL
1 - 0
DEP
29%
27%
45%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 2
TAC
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
DEP
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 2
MIN
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 0
LLA
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
LAR
26%
26%
49%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
TUC
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
TRU
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 0
TAC
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
TUC
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |