La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 1
TAC
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 2
YAR
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 1
DEP
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
LAR
26%
27%
48%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TUC
0 - 2
DEP
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
EST
0 - 2
ARA
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
EST
0 - 2
MIR
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 1
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
EST
3 - 1
TUC
63%
23%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 3
EST
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |