La Guaira vs Inter De Barinas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
7º
3º
2
8º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
DEP
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 2
MET
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
DEP
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 2
UCV
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
TAC
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Inter De Barinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
UCV
4 - 0
BAR
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
UCV
44%
28%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
DEP
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 0
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
MON
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |