Apertura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
Deportivo Cali vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
MIL
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
AME
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
ORS
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 2
ALI
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2017 |
IND
4 - 3
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
IND
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 2
IND
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
IND
2 - 2
AME
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |