Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 1-7
Deportivo Cali vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 1
EQU
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 0
CAL
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
EQU
1 - 1
CAL
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
QUI
1 - 1
CAL
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
4 - 1
CAL
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 1
GLP
55%
26%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 0
CAL
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HUR
1 - 2
VEL
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 0
PAT
66%
22%
13%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
GLP
2 - 2
VEL
35%
28%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |