Deportes Tolima vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
11%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
TOL
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 0
PER
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 2
TOL
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
MIL
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
EQU
1 - 2
TOL
43%
28%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
PER
0 - 2
ALI
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 0
EQU
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 1
ENV
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
IND
2 - 2
ALI
78%
16%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 3
SFE
15%
26%
60%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -1 |