FCV Dender vs Lierse Kempenzonen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
10º
36
1º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 1
DEN
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
0 - 1
STL
23%
27%
50%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
2 - 1
JET
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RWD
1 - 0
DEN
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
4 - 0
WET
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lierse Kempenzonen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KSK
4 - 1
DEI
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BEE
2 - 3
KSK
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
KSK
3 - 1
BRG
32%
27%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
KRC
4 - 1
KSK
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
KSK
3 - 2
PAT
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |