FCV Dender vs Jong Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
3º
1º
27
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
40 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
STL
1 - 1
DEN
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 0
DEI
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
LOM
1 - 0
DEN
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
DEN
2 - 1
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WAA
5 - 2
DEN
79%
14%
6%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Jong Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
KRC
1 - 1
EXC
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LOM
2 - 0
KRC
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KRC
1 - 1
STL
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DEI
1 - 3
KRC
56%
23%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
KRC
2 - 2
STL
46%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |