Mineiro 1 Troféu Inconfidência Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Democrata GV vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
URT
1 - 2
DEM
38%
27%
36%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
DEM
0 - 1
ATM
8%
19%
74%
|
46 | 90 | 44 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
DEM
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
DEM
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 0
TOM
22%
27%
51%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAT
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AMF
0 - 1
VIL
82%
14%
4%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 2
VIL
82%
13%
4%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAL
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |