Democrata GV vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
DEM
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
DEM
2 - 0
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 0
DEM
29%
24%
48%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
DEM
1 - 0
TFC
45%
24%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEM
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 1
PAT
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
AGU
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
UBE
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 0
PAT
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
PAT
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |