Democrata GV vs Itabirito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 1
DEM
41%
30%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 0
ANA
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
DEM
35%
30%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
DEM
2 - 0
RES
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 0
DEM
49%
28%
24%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Itabirito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BOA
0 - 2
IFC
38%
24%
39%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
IFC
1 - 1
BET
24%
23%
54%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
UBE
2 - 3
IFC
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AYM
3 - 4
IFC
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
IFC
2 - 0
URT
21%
22%
57%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |