Torneo Federal A Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Defensores Belgrano VR vs San Lorenzo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 2
DFR
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
DFR
2 - 1
SMA
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
DFR
5 - 1
SOL
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
DFR
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DFR
1 - 0
CIP
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 2
DFR
30%
28%
42%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
JAN
1 - 1
SLO
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 0
JAN
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MIT
2 - 2
SLO
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 0
MIT
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |