Defensor Sporting vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CER
0 - 3
DEF
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 2
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
DAN
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 1
JUN
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
FEN
2 - 3
SUD
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 0
SUD
68%
19%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
SUD
0 - 3
NAC
17%
24%
59%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
CER
2 - 1
SUD
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |