Defensor Sporting vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 1
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 1
PRO
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CCP
2 - 1
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
RIV
4 - 2
PRO
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 1
FEN
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 2
RIV
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 2
TOR
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |