Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
MWA
2 - 0
DEF
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
DEF
0 - 0
LFC
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 3
DEF
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 0
JUN
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 4
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
RAC
3 - 3
PEÑ
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 1
RAC
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
RAC
4 - 1
FEN
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
RAC
71%
19%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
RAC
1 - 1
RIV
35%
26%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |