Defensor Sporting vs Boston River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 2
DEF
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 3
PEÑ
27%
28%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 3
DEF
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 2
PLA
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
BOS
1 - 2
RIV
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 3
BOS
27%
29%
44%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
BOS
39%
30%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
BOS
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
BOS
2 - 0
CEL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |