Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
DYJ
0 - 1
HUR
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CCS
1 - 2
DYJ
24%
28%
48%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DYJ
0 - 0
BAN
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GLP
0 - 1
DYJ
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
DYJ
0 - 3
ARS
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ATT
0 - 1
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
IND
2 - 2
LAN
47%
26%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
PAT
1 - 0
IND
27%
27%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
PAT
0 - 1
IND
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
COL
58%
25%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |