Defensa y Justicia vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CFE
1 - 1
DYJ
13%
21%
66%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 2
DYJ
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
DYJ
0 - 0
LIG
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 0
DYJ
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
LIG
3 - 0
DYJ
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
4 - 3
BOC
37%
30%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 0
BEL
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
BEL
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 0
PLA
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GOD
0 - 0
BEL
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |