Def. Belgrano vs Villa Dálmine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
28.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
DEF
59%
26%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 0
RIE
40%
31%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAG
0 - 0
DEF
34%
31%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 1
ALB
37%
31%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GIM
0 - 1
DEF
51%
27%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DAL
2 - 0
SMA
21%
29%
50%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SUA
1 - 1
DAL
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
DAL
1 - 0
AGR
29%
30%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
INS
0 - 0
DAL
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
DAL
0 - 0
SAC
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |