Def. Belgrano vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
48.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
DAL
0 - 0
DEF
60%
25%
15%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 1
ALM
33%
31%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SMA
0 - 0
DEF
74%
19%
8%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 1
INS
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 2
DEF
56%
27%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 1
TIG
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BRO
1 - 1
SAR
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
5 - 1
CHA
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RIE
2 - 2
SAR
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
SAR
4 - 1
GIM
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |