Def. Belgrano vs Club Atlético Güemes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
24.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 0
DEF
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
RSA
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 0
DEF
36%
31%
34%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
STM
0 - 0
DEF
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
DAL
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Club Atlético Güemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
CAG
1 - 1
STM
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
DAL
2 - 1
CAG
42%
30%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAG
1 - 0
SMA
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 3
CAG
55%
26%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CAG
0 - 3
GBR
44%
28%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |