DC United vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
NER
2 - 1
DCU
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
DCU
2 - 0
HOD
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
DCU
1 - 1
MON
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PHU
0 - 1
DCU
49%
27%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
POR
3 - 2
DCU
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
KCW
1 - 1
RBN
42%
26%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
KCW
2 - 2
TOR
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CFS
2 - 1
KCW
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
KCW
1 - 2
PHU
57%
25%
19%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MON
0 - 3
KCW
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |