Danubio vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
RAC
6 - 0
DAN
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
DAN
3 - 1
TAC
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ETS
3 - 2
DAN
29%
27%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
DAN
0 - 1
PEÑ
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 1
DAN
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 1
CEN
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
45%
24%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
RIV
4 - 2
NAC
37%
26%
38%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 3
NAC
18%
25%
58%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |