Cuba vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.7%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.7%
83.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
18.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
14.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
18.3%
0-4
9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
CRC
5 - 0
CUB
74%
17%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CUB
2 - 1
NIC
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
CUB
1 - 1
NIC
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
CUB
0 - 2
PAN
34%
28%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CUB
0 - 1
SLV
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
5 - 0
SLV
90%
8%
2%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
3 - 0
NZL
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MEX
1 - 1
ECU
67%
20%
13%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
MEX
1 - 1
VEN
73%
18%
10%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
MEX
3 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
14%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | +1 |