Cuba vs Guadeloupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
CUB
2 - 2
GRD
82%
13%
5%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
CUB
0 - 1
HTI
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CUB
3 - 0
ATG
77%
16%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
GLP
1 - 2
CUB
23%
23%
54%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2008 |
TTO
3 - 0
CUB
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guadeloupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
JAM
2 - 0
GLP
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
ATG
2 - 2
GLP
25%
23%
52%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
HTI
2 - 3
GLP
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
GLP
1 - 2
CUB
23%
23%
54%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
GLP
3 - 1
MTQ
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |