WC Qual. CONCACAF 2da Ronda Final
Global 8-3
Cuba vs Antigua and Barbuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2008 |
ATG
3 - 4
CUB
19%
24%
58%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
CUB
1 - 0
VCT
64%
21%
14%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
GUY
0 - 0
CUB
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
GUY
2 - 1
CUB
28%
26%
47%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
CUB
0 - 5
HND
11%
17%
72%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2008 |
ATG
3 - 4
CUB
19%
24%
58%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ATG
2 - 0
KNA
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ATG
6 - 1
LCA
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ATG
1 - 0
ABW
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
ABW
0 - 3
ATG
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |