CSP vs Serra Branca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+132%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 3
CSP
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 1
CSP
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
CSP
1 - 2
POM
44%
23%
32%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
CSP
1 - 0
SOU
13%
23%
64%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
CSP
82%
13%
6%
|
32 | 64 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Branca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
23 | 64 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
NAC
15%
20%
66%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
CAM
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SER
3 - 2
POM
20%
20%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |